Thursday, March 13, 2014

Sovereignty Election Issue Sweet Music for Liberal Ears

PLK changes the game, but in whose favour?
For Pauline Marois bagging Pierre-Karl Péledeau as a star candidate promised to be the catalyst that would magically turn unconvinced soft nationalists into PQ voters and although Péladeau hardly represents the values and ideals of the socialist left wing party, on balance he was thought to bring along enough votes to make those within the party who opposed everything he stands for, hold their nose and bite their tongue.

But things often don't work out in life and Péledeau's jump into the ring had a startling and unforeseen effect, somehow making sovereignty and the Independence of Quebec the prime election issue, instead of the Charter of Values, which was the sure-fire issue that the PQ had hoped to run its election on.

With now the fearful referendum elephant out of the bag, and in full discussion, the Quebec Liberal Party may be poised to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat and early polls indicate that it might just be happening.

The latest poll released after Péledeau's entry into the fray shows voters in the Quebec City region going solidly Liberal at the expense of the CAQ, demonstrating an  'Anything But Pauline' movement taking root.


The Liberal troops of Philippe Couillard seem to have refueled at the expense of CAQ , while in December the François Legault team was leading in the polls.

Christian Bourque, vice-president of Leger Marketing, said this polarization may be  "Anybody bu Pauline"
phenomenon, among other explanations. Link
 The Quebec City region represents the traditional power base of the CAQ, but support looks like it is collapsing around the Francois Legault party, as voters opposed to a new referendum rally around the only party that can stop Pauline.

Péladeau is controversial man and stalwarts in the PQ are having a hard time digesting him, already there is cracks in the walls of separatist support and his presence may also have the effect of pushing hardliners to move towards more radical option like Quebec Solidaire and Option National.
Péladeau is going to be a liability, mark my words. There's just too much there to dislike and the campaign is just underway, with reporters scurrying to find dirt on him.


The FTQ, Quebec's largest union has come out firmly against Péladeau and has for the first time in its history, refused to endorse the PQ, nor officially make its membership available as campaign workers.
The attacks have started already;
"The Liberal candidate in the riding of Charlesbourg, François Blais, questioned whether Pauline Marois  endorses the report published in 2011 by the PQ candidate in Charlesbourg, Dominique Payette, about journalism and the future of information in Quebec.
The working group led by Ms. Payette had recommended that government advertising be reserved for newspaper companies that adhered to the Quebec Press Council.
"Quebecor Media have left the Press Council in 2009 and 2010," said Mr. Blais statement. "Does the outgoing Premier and his candidate in Charlesbourg continue to endorse the Payette report now that the former boss of Quebecor Pierre Karl Peladeau is PQ candidate? " Link{fr}
But the big effect of the Péladeau entrance is to have shifted  the debate  to the independence issue, something PQ strategist wanted to steer away from, their political Achilles Heel.

As Marois gets sucked into s discussing independence her credibility as a leader nose-dives;
"A sovereign Quebec would use the Canadian dollar and request a seat on the Bank of Canada’s decision-making body, Parti Québécois Leader Pauline Marois said Wednesday on the campaign trail.
The PQ Leader pointed to several studies on the matter conducted in the early 1990s which showed that there would be no obstacles for an independent Quebec to using the Canadian dollar. However, getting a seat on the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council would be more difficult.

“Obviously we may wish to get a seat at the Bank of Canada but we would accept the Canadian monetary policies,” Ms. Marois said.Liberal Leader Philippe Couillard said Ms. Marois is living in a dream world.
“The PQ always tries to take us to an imaginary world, Alice in Wonderland, where everything is going to be so great. No borders, no passport, it’s fantastic. Everybody’s going to be great friends,” said Mr. Couillard." Link
 For Couillard and the Liberals, hammering on the independence issue is the ticket to election success and the real question is whether the PQ will swallow the bait and engage in those sovereignty debate.

Now that Marois has opened up the Pandora's box about borders and dollars, it is time for the federal government to step in with an attack. We were promised by Denis Lebel that if the PQ discussed issues that involve Ottawa, they would reserve the right of reply.
That time has come.
Any back and forth with Ottawa over referendums, borders and dollars will have a scathing effect, a discussion that practically all voters want to avoid., sweet music to Liberal ears and poison for the PQ.

The more the issue of sovereignty is seriously, debated, the farther the PQ will sink.
With 61% of Quebecers saying they would vote NO in a new referendum, discussing its likelihood  an electoral disaster for the PQ.
And by the way, the 31% of those who say they will vote YES in a referendum, don't necessarily want to have a referendum either, the fear of another crushing humiliation too much to take.

One of the more interesting aspects of Quebec politics is how quickly things can change and how the fortunes of political parties can wax and wane, virtually overnight.

If the Liberals play their cards right and the PQ plays their cards wrong (as they seem to be doing) we may just see a new Premier come election day.

All this is courtesy of the talk of sovereignty and Marois' sad and fantastical predictions of a sovereign Quebec, prosperous, without borders and spending money graced with Queen portrait, and the presumptuous assumption that Canada will embrace Quebec Independence and sit around the fraternal fire pit and sing Kumbaya, something even committed sovereigntist don't believe as realistic

Marois has been roundly ridiculed in the Press for her glowing and imaginative view of Quebec independence, preaching to an audience who doesn't want to hear about it.

As long a Couillard keeps up the sovereignty debate going and as long as the PQ take up the debate, the election become a toss-up.

And remember readers, that in analyzing future polls, the Liberal support is always under-represented as we saw in the last election, where the got 4% more votes than predicted in any poll.

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Péladeau Hammers Final Nail in Coffin for Quebec City NHL Franchise


I don't know of any article that I've written over these last years that generated as much hate controversial emails as the one in which I told readers that Pierre-Karl Péladeau and the PQ were the reason Quebec City will be blacklisted by the NHL.
I was branded a Quebec-basher and hysteric, a nogoodnick, inciting one listener on a radio talk show to demand that I should be prosecuted as a hate-monger.

Of course I take these complaints as a compliment, I know that the barbs that I fling sting rabid separatists rather smartly, fueling my impetus to carry on.


Read the post



Nine months after I published this 'outrageous' piece, it seems that the Liberal Party and the CAQ have both embraced this idea and made it part of the election campaign.
"The Liberals and the CAQ fear that the return of a National Hockey League team to Quebec is now compromised by the political commitment of Pierre Karl Péladeau for independence.

"I'm worried about the impact it will have on the arrival of a hockey team in Quebec, I'm not sure it will be well received in the offices of the National League," said the Liberal leader, Philippe Couillard, who was campaigning in Quebec City Monday morning".
 
Link{fr}

"Imagine Bettman this morning, reading a Canadian newspaper illustrated with the face of Mr. Péladeau, fist clenched, saying that he  wants to create an independent Quebec," said  the incumbent CAQ member from Chauveau, Gerard Deltell  Link{fr}

We don't want a country, we want to see the return of the Nordiques- Sam Hadad - Liberal MNA
Of course supporters of the PQ leapt to the defense, claiming that Péladeau will have no effect of the decision by the NHL to locate in Quebec City, an idea parroted by the French media clear across  Quebec;
"According to Régis Labeaume a for-profit organization cares more about the potential profits generated by a hockey team in Quebec than the independence of the province. Its only consideration is whether a hockey team in Quebec will be a paying proposition for the National Hockey League, "he said. Link{fr}
“Every decision they make is based on dollars, business, profit. They don’t care about politics, that’s it.” Regis Lebeaume
The insufferable Mathieu Bock-Côté was apoplectic that any politician would even dare contend that Péladeau could adversely affect Quebec City's chances for an NHL team.
"I cannot believe that a single individual will be affected by this "argument" which takes the electorate for a bunch of morons. Link
The popular argument making the rounds of Francophone media is that Bettman is a 'businessman' and will make a decision based on money alone.
I sense the oft repeated word 'businessman' being bandied across the French media is nothing less than code for 'money-grubbing Jew,' someone who will do anything for a buck, no matter how distasteful.

Now how Régis Lebeaume knows what is in Gary Bettman's mind or heart, I cannot fathom, I rather believe that he is espousing a bucket of wishful thinking, whilst whistling through the graveyard.

At any rate, I stand by everything I said back in June on the subject of the NHL and Péladeau, the fanciful idea that the NHL owners are men who are ruled by the almighty dollar alone, a fantasy that serves the interest of separatists who want to believe that Canadians and Americans have no honour or backbone.

For the edification of Régis, let me enlighten him as to who these owners really are and let him and perhaps readers make an informed decision as to whether money will be the be-all and end-all rationale for granting Quebec City a franchise.

Let's start with a picture of Gary Bettman and Larry Tannenbaum (Chairman and 25% owner of the Toronto Maple Leafs) posing with Shimon Peres at the Jewish Olympics held last summer in Israel.
Bettman is not a religious Jew, but observant and takes seriously the antisemitic barbs thrown at him by those opposed to his rule. He is a big supporter of Israel and active in the Jewish community.


Larry Tanenbaum (Toronto Maple Leafs) is good friends with Bettman and also a committed Jew. He was appointed an Officer of the Order of Canada in 2007 and is a founding member of the Centre for Israel and Jewish Affairs.
In 1911, Abraham Tanenbaum sailed from Poland to Toronto, where he built a family construction empire from scrap metal.

One hundred years later, grandson Larry Tanenbaum sips vintage wines poured by Canada’s only female master sommelier at e11even, the high-end restaurant in the billion-dollar, bricks-and-mortar holdings of Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment owned, in part, by Tanenbaum. Link
Both these gentlemen hold enormous sway in the ownership pool, one which requires twenty-three out of thirty owners to approve any new franchise or movement.
I cannot stress enough how angrily Quebec's Jewish community has reacted to the PQ's proposed Charter of Values, considering themselves incidental collateral damage, having been thrown under the bus by a PQ government intent on putting a check on the Muslim community.
Observant or not, almost all Jews despise the new proposed law, feeling themselves targeted once again. The community is tightly-knit and Jews outside Quebec are equally aware, concerned and dismayed by the unfolding events in the province.

If the Quebec media and politicians think these NHL owners will hold their nose and vote for the money, they are sadly mistaken or worse still delusional, making assumptions about people they don't know.
I bet Régis Lebeaume can't name ten NHL owners, yet confidently tells us how they will react to Quebec separatism, Péladeau and the Charter if Values.

So let's shed a little light on exactly who some of these people are, those who will give Quebec City a thumbs up or down.

The NHL owners consist of at least fifteen billionaires, (out of 29 owners) the highest percentage in any professional sports league, recently adding Vincent Viola and the richest owner of all, Winnipeg Jets David Thompson, the richest man in Canada. Here are some notable owners and a bit of background.
Multi-billionaire Tom Pegula of Buffalo made his billions by fracking for oil. The conservative Republican donated $102 million to his Alma Mater, Penn State.  So my question to Régis is,whether he thinks the fracking king is a big fan of Quebec and if he will be persuaded by a million or two that the Quebec franchise will represent to him?
 
Billionaire Jeremy Jacobs of the Boston Bruins is probably not going to be affected by the 'money' argument in considering Quebec City's quest for a franchise either.
The billionaire, son of Jewish immigrants from Poland gives millions of dollars to assorted charities each year, including the Boys and Girl Clubs of America. A Big 'C' conservative, he's probably not to be swung by a money argument, even if he is Jewish, Régis.

Billionaire New Yorker, Vincent Viola recently purchased the Florida Panthers. Viola made news when he sold his NY mansion for $114 million!
Now Régis should take note of this interview before declaring Viola a whore who will hold his nose and vote for the money ;
Q. What plans do you have beyond hockey?
A. We have a family foundation, and it has a strategy to its philanthropy. Its principal focus is in support of our national defense, particularly in support of the United States Army and its mission, and that takes various forms. Second is our focus on education and educating those that might not in the normal course get exposed to the highest level of education from the primary grades up. The third is support of the church.
We're going to try to serve the county of Broward in that same focus. I can share a specific initiative that we're undertaking. Link  
Henry Samueli (Anaheim Ducks) is the son of Polish Jewish immigrants who survived Nazi Europe.
The schools of engineering at UCLA, where he is professor, and UC Irvine, were renamed after Samueli when he donated to these institutions, $30 million and $20 million, respectively, in the year 1999. Samueli's donation founded the Sala and Aron Samueli Holocaust Memorial Library at Chapman University, which was dedicated in 2005. Link
I don't think money considerations will motivate Samueli either, even if he is a Jew (despite the old stereotype.) I know it's getting tiresome to see all these Yid names, but Régis, these are the facts.
Billionaire N. Murray Edwards (Calgary Flames) is the 14th richest Canadian who has more at stake in the Canadian oil sands than possibly any other individual. He administers a family charitable trust.  What do you say Régis?  Think he's a big fan of Quebec.

Peter Karmanos, Jr. (Carolina Hurricanes) was born into a Greek immigrant family and did not start speaking English until he was in grade school. He made his fortune with Compuware before selling out and now regularly makes million dollar donations to charitable causes.

Josh Kroenke is the son and proxy for his father, billionaire Stan Kroenke, husband of Wal-Mart heiress Ann Walton. Josh has been made president of both the Denver Nuggets and Colorado Avalanche and non-executive director of Arsenal soccer club all owned by his father. 
The father is a regular church goer and as you can imagine a Republican through and through.
Nope Régis, with the Walton fortune behind him, I can't see the economic argument for Quebec City having any sway.
Western Canadian Tom Gaglardi (Dallas Stars) owner of Sandman hotels and Moxie’s eateries comes from a family of BC politicians. He just loves hockey and the NHL. A Western Canadian, who re-built his failing family business into a powerhouse. Keywords here Régis..."Western Canadian.'
W. Brett Wilson is a minority owner of the Nashville Predators. Wilson is a well-known Western Canadian billionaire and philanthropist based in Calgary. He is currently Chairman of Canoe Financial, an investment management firm with over $2.0 Billion in assets. He has extensive holdings in the energy and real estate industries through Prairie Merchant Corporation. 
Hey Régis,  another western Canadian oil man, think he's a fan?
Daryl Katz (Edmonton Oilers) is Canada's 11th richest man, who attended Talmud Torah Jewish day school as a child and made his wealth in Pharmacies (Rexall).
 Katz donated $20 Million to Mount Sinai Hospital in Toronto and gave a $7 million donation to the University of Alberta Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences. Sorry Régis, another you-know-what!

Philip F. Anschutz (LA Kings) is ranked the 38th richest person by Forbes. He got his start in what else...oil.
As one of the world's wealthy billionaires, Philip Anschutz has been making a name for himself in the philanthropic community, delivering among other gifts a $100 million donation to the University of Colorado.
He is an active patron of a number of religious and conservative causes.... Yikes Régis, ya think a guy who gives away hundreds of millions will be swayed to vote for Quebec because of the money!
Craig Leipold (Minnesota Wild) is active in numerous civic and corporate organizations as well as several charities benefiting children. Leipold is a prominent Republican and was an active supporter of George W. Bush. His hockey team partner is billionaire Philip Falcone, who is the 117th richest person in the world and lives in an Upper East Side apartment in New York for which he paid $49 million. He and his wife are big time philanthropists, regularly writing cheques for up to $10 million. He played hockey as a kid in Minnesota and  has a deep love for game naming his boardrooms after NHL Teams. So nope Régis, don't think he'll be swayed by the smell of your money!
Joshua "Josh" Harris (NJ Devils), is one of the younger NHL owners, another high-achieving Jew who graduated from Wharton and Harvard, now worth about $1.5 billion. Harris is the managing partner of an investment group that also won a $280 million bid for the purchase of the Philadelphia 76ers.
Charles B. Wang (NY Islanders) was born in Shanghai, his father was a Supreme Court judge in pre-Communist China. At 31, he started a computer company with funds off his credit card and built a fortune.
He is an active philanthropist, working with such organizations as Smile Train, the World Childhood Foundation, the Islanders Children’s Foundation and the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children, among others. Link
Eugene Melnyk (Ottawa Senators) is a proud Ukrainian Canadian businessman who has resided in Barbados since 1991. He made his fortune in generic drugs, his companies often involved in litigation... A real  tough customer.
He is an active philanthropist, some donations topping $5 million!

Ed Snider (Philadelphia Flyers) was born to a Jewish family in the Washington D.C. region, the son of a grocery-store chain owner. Chairman of Comcast Spectacor, he has amassed a $2.5 billion fortune. In 1997, Snider was inducted into the Philadelphia Jewish Sports Hall of Fame.

Tom Stillman (St. Louis Blues)  is CEO of Summit Distributing, the “second largest beer distributor and the largest import/specialty beer distributor in the State of Missouri,” He isn't the type of person to be pushed around or easily frightened. He distributed Miller beer in St. Louis, home of Anheuser-Busch. He once stared down death threats when he refused to let the Teamsters take over jobs at his company.
Not a guy who will cave over money instead of principle.

Hasso Plattner (San Jose Sharks) is a German businessman who lives in Schriesheim-Altenbach, near Heidelberg in Germany. He's got a net worth of almost $9 billion, made in software, an acknowledged "technology guru." He is also a generous philanthropist having contributed €20 million to the reconstruction of the Stadtschloss in Potsdam, damaged in World War 2, among many other charitable projects.

Jeffrey Vinik (Tampa Bay Lightening) best known for managing the Fidelity Magellan mutual fund in the early 1990s, is only half a billionaire with a fortune estimated at $500 million.  Vinik has been active in and generous to Boston's Jewish community. When he bought the Lightning, he sold his Boston home for $17 million and departed for Tampa. Once there, the Vinik family donated $1.5 to the South Tampa Jewish Community Campus.

Billionaire Francesco Aquilini (Vancouver Canucks) of Italian descent, born and raised in Vancouver, British Columbia. He is a hard nosed businessman who has had several run ins with authorities. Link
Billionaire Ted Leonsis (Washington Capitals) is the son of Greek immigrants brought up in the very ethnic Brooklyn, NY.  Here's an interesting quote;
"I can only speak for myself. The base of any religion is happiness. I think becoming part of a community and finding your higher calling is key. For me, I chose to follow the Jesuit ideal. That built into me that you should be of service to man. There is some kind of biblical overtone to that. I’ve found it a positive business trait as well. Link
The nine person ownership group that recently took over the Phoenix Coyotes contains seven Calgary businessmen, and guess what Régis, they are all into OIL.
ExecutiveBiz: You were raised Greek Orthodox and are still aligned with the faith. Meanwhile, more than one-quarter of American adults have traded the religion they grew up with for another or they’re now spiritually unaffiliated. How should they begin to get spiritually plugged-in?
Ted Leonsis: I can only speak for myself. The base of any religion is happiness. I think becoming part of a community and finding your higher calling is key. For me, I chose to follow the Jesuit ideal. That built into me that you should be of service to man. There is some kind of biblical overtone to that. I’ve found it a positive business trait as well.
- See more at: http://blog.executivebiz.com/2010/04/ted-leonsis-the-business-of-happiness-starts-with-you/#sthash.iGrsyNZu.dpuf
So these are some of the owners that Régis Lebeaume and other PQ stalwarts believe will be motivated by money and money alone and that they have no principles or politics and who will blithely ignore the  PQ's  attacks on Canada, oil, religion and wealth, because making money is all that motivates them.

Clearly Régis and his cohorts haven't a clue and so I choose to call them out on their bravado and stupidity.

There is an inherent misconception among Francophone Quebecers, both separatists and federalists wherein they absolutely underestimate or fail to fathom the utter disdain that Canadians have for separatists and the fact that this disdain is spreading to the entire Quebec population over the Charter of Values.

As Mr. Péledeau takes up his new job and starts shitting on denigrating Canada in public, (as do all PQ politicians,) his actions will be noted by NHL owners and I am reminded of the famous understatement made by Queen Victoria.. "We are not amused."

So Régis, please meet the NHL owners, Conservatives, Jews, Greeks, Italians, religiously devout, oil people, billionaires, Western Canadians and good ole boys.

Could you imagine any group of people more hostile to Quebec than these?
I can only speak for myself. The base of any religion is happiness. I think becoming part of a community and finding your higher calling is key. For me, I chose to follow the Jesuit ideal. That built into me that you should be of service to man. There is some kind of biblical overtone to that. I’ve found it a positive business trait as well. - See more at: http://blog.executivebiz.com/2010/04/ted-leonsis-the-business-of-happiness-starts-with-you/#sthash.iGrsyNZu.dpuf there are those who will be watching and taking note.

And yes, I didn't forget about the Montreal Canadiens owner Geoff Molson, who in the secrecy of the boardroom would be an utter fool to vote for a Quebec City franchise.

So to Régis Lebeaume and his magnificent white elephant arena now under construction I have but two words.
.....COPPS COLISEUM!

**************** UPDATE****************

I thought this comment from BlueWhiteRed important enough to add to this post


Yup, it seems that Quebec city isn't even on a poll run by the NHL asking fans about potential franchise locations.

The National Hockey League surveys thousands of its fans through the NHL Fan Faceoff program, asking all manner of questions about the game, fan behavior and the direction of the League.

In the latest survey, two questions caught the eyes of a few of our readers; ones that specifically ask about eight cities (s/t Matt C.):  Link




Monday, March 10, 2014

Pierre-Karl Péladeau Taking Over PQ Reins

Pierre-Karl Péladeau....Eyes firmly on the Premier Prize
I once met a leasing agent at a trade show where she introduced  me to her new young assistant, whose odd but familiar second name, piqued my interest.

Later on I bumped into the agent again, this time without the assistant in tow and asked if the young lady was indeed the daughter of the owner of the company.

"Yes she is" answered the agent sardonically, " I didn't exactly have a choice in taking her on."
To which I inquired of her rather cruelly, (I wasn't a big fan) how it felt to be training her replacement!

And so when Pierre-Karl Péladeau was introduced by Pauline Marois as a PQ candidate in the upcoming election, she was in fact introducing her successor, the only question remaining is how and when that transformation will take place.

Why Pauline would embark on such a course of action, letting an overpowering rival into the party, one she cannot hope to best in any type of leadership fight is another aspect to be considered, because as bad and incompetent she is as a Premier, as a political operator, she is unrivalled.

But first lets review;

Pierre-Karl Péladeau swore up and down over the last year and as recently as last month that he would not be running in the provincial election as a PQ candidate.
But back in December the decidedly lightweight online journal, The Prince Arthur Herald reported that this was not true, scooping everyone when it reported definitively that Péladeau would run in the election and even had correctly predicted the riding in which he was going to run, St. Jerome.
"The Prince Arthur Herald’s French news team has learned that Pierre- Karl Peladeau will most likely run under the PQ banner in the riding of Saint- Jerome. A PQ source familiar with the case confirmed the rumour."  Link
An assertion that Péladeau, through a spokesman, denied vehemently.
"The rumor is totally false, reacted  Quebecor spokesman, Martin Tremblay. Pierre Karl had already denied this rumour two months or so ago, in Quebec . And he used  strong enough words to deny that there isn't any question that he will go into politics."
Quebecor  even felt the need to publish a retraction on his Twitter account, anxious to leave no room for alternative interpretation. "Pierre Karl Peladeau has no intention to stand for election. The rumor @PArthurHerald is totally false, "
Hmmm... So much for the truth.
So lets not fall for the malarkey that Péladeau just changed his mind recently deciding to throw his hat in the ring on a lark, clearly, he was on a track from the very beginning.

Ever since Marois made him chairman of Hydro-Quebec, Péladeau has steadfastly denied all rumours that he had political aspirations and so in light of events, it is reasonable to wonder just how trustworthy and honest he really is, misleading us as to his intention so nakedly, a sad precursor to what we can expect of Péladeau as a leader.

Julie Snyder...Excess baggage on voyage to Premiership
Clearly his resignation from Quebecor and his dumping of his wife Julie Snyder in January, were housecleaning events, clearing the track and leading up to this announcement.
But putting all this aside, one has to ask why Marois, an old political warhorse would make a bargain with the devil, setting the fox into the chicken coop she oversees.
It is only a question of time before Péladeau is given the keys to or grabs the reins of power, clearly he isn't a man ready to play second fiddle and certainly not to someone as incompetent as Pauline Marois.

Should Marois win her majority, Péladeau will become more than her de facto deputy premier, he will no doubt  fill the role of Lord Protector, wielding the real power behind the throne, eventually taking over completely when Pauline has played out her fantasy and retires into the sunset, having fulfilled her lifetime ambition. (being Premier, that is)
I assume that is the plan that Pauline has signed off on, willing to play the role of titular head of state, enjoying the trappings of office while leaving the real work to her new hatchet man.

I can only chuckle at the thought of the hard-nosed, capable and pragmatic Péladeau sitting around the cabinet table and entertaining the idiotic ideas and notions of the PQ idiot-ministers.
How that will play out leaves me wondering, Péladeau doesn't suffer fools easily and there are plenty of fools among his PQ colleagues.
I'm sure that a lot of ministers are quaking in their boots right now at the thought of Péladeau's arrival, but alas, that is the stuff of another post.

Péladeau is a one man show who has ruled Quebecor with an iron fist, successfully smashing unions at his newspapers and this with a malicious and sadistic vengeance, a viciously nasty battle which he enjoyed like a disturbed child pulling wings off a fly.
He is no saviour to the PQ's unionized base or entitled masses, that much is for sure!
His candidacy was roundly condemned Sunday by the FTQ,  Quebec's largest union, as a "catastrophe" for working men and women in Quebec.
"He is probably one of the worst employers that Quebec has ever known," the FTQ said in a news release, citing Péladeau's history of lockouts.
For his potential opponents, both within and without the PQ, I can only warn them that this guy plays super rough, the likes of which ordinary politicians have never seen.
I'm reminded of the old aphorism that reminds us that one should never wrestle with a pig, because you both get dirty, but the pig enjoys it.
 
With the Quebec Liberals a lot closer in the polls than was predicted by the media of late, Péladeau will be the linchpin to an election win or loss for the PQ.

While Pauline sees Péladeau as a necessary component to election victory, she may be making a pact with the devil and the gambit could very well backfire if the Liberals push the notion that Péladeau will usurp the throne and impose his harsh austerity and anti-union and anti-entitlement philosophy, imposing upon the province a punishing economic regimen worthy of an army boot-camp sergeant.

Anybody who is being unfairly rewarded, be it lazy-ass fisherman in the Gaspé, beneficiaries of wasteful electricity projects, welfare recipients and up to and including the entire over-paid and bloated government public service, should be on notice.
Péledeau represents a slash and burn manager, who embraces a take no prisoners economic and business mentality, where the bottom line is more important than people.
It is a philosophy no Quebec political figure would dare enunciate and one that even Francois Legault would be too frightened to even contemplate.

The Liberals could exploit this weakness, because in the end sovereignty aside, people will vote their economic interest if they see it threatened.
While Péladeau may earn votes from middle class voters previously fearful of the economic ramshackle fostered by the PQ, the traditional union and entitled base may be frightened off.

It is fascinating political theatre with an outcome difficult to predict.

Péladeau is everything the province of Quebec needs, a leader willing to make the tough economic decisions that are needed to get Quebec on track, including cutting out entitlements and government waste, no matter the cost it imposes on the entitled.

But Quebec voters are probably too invested in the status quo to abide by the painful dose of economic and political truth that Péladeau would deliver.

To paraphrase the movies, when it comes to Quebec voters.

THEY CAN'T HANDLE THE TRUTH!!

Friday, March 7, 2014

Quebec: Is It Time for a Dose of Tough Love?

"Tough love is an expression used when someone treats another person harshly or sternly with the intent to help them in the long run....

In most uses, there must be some actual love or feeling of affection behind the harsh or stern treatment to be defined as tough love. For example, genuinely concerned parents refusing to support their drug-addicted child financially until he or she enters drug rehabilitation would be said to be practising tough love. Athletic coaches who maintain strict rules and highly demanding training regimens, but who care about their players, coul
d also be said to be practising tough love."
Link
 
Vacationing here in Florida I've been exposed to the local news and the different take Americans have on general societal principles, an interesting learning experience about how differently public life is ordered here, not better or worse, per se, but different.
Banging around the local channels is a story of an eighteen year-old high school student, Rachel Canning, who is suing her parents for support after she left home in a dispute.
Miss Canning claimed her parents threw her out in November 2013, when she turned 18, because they didn’t like her boyfriend. She said they refused to pay for her higher education, even after she received acceptance letters from several universities. In court filings, she alleged her parents were abusive, contributed to an eating disorder, and pushed her to get a basketball scholarship.
The Cannings, who have two other daughters, said they helped her through the eating disorder and paid for a private school where she would play less basketball than at a state-run school. Retired Lincoln Park police chief Sean Canning and his wife, Elizabeth, said their daughter voluntarily left home because she did not want to abide by reasonable household rules, such as being respectful, keeping a curfew, doing chores and ending a relationship with a boyfriend whom they believe is a bad influence.

“We love our child and miss her”, Mr Canning told New Jersey newspaper the Daily Record before the hearing. “It’s killing me and my wife. We have a child we want home. We’re not draconian and now we’re getting hauled into court. She’s demanding that we pay her bills but she doesn’t want to live at home and she’s saying: ‘I don’t want to live under your rules.’” Link
The judge threw out her request, but as is the norm in the litigious USA, the case is certainly headed for appeal. What else in new?
Incidentally the young lady isn't asking for chump change, she wants nearly $35k a year plus tuition.Yikes!

Somehow, I see an analogy here in this story between Canada's relationship with Quebec, where for forty years Canada has pandered to Quebec nationalism, caving in on myriad of issues both political and financial, in a sadly desperate effort to placate a recalcitrant province which wants the financial benefits of the Canadian home without the obligation to live by 'house rules.'

Now one manifestation of 'tough love' is that in many cases, it is characterized by an abrupt and monumental shift in parenting, from soft and indulgent to harsh and unwavering, literally overnight.
This after painful reflection and soul-searching by parents, leading them to the conclusion that their pandering over the years had the opposite desired effect and where a radical course change is all that is left in order to save the situation.
It happens when exhausted parents are at the end of their rope and see no other alternative, just like Rachel Canning parents who obviously reached their parenting limit, despite their obvious love for their daughter.

So readers, is 'tough love' where we are headed in Canada's relationship with Quebec?.......I think so.

Certainly federal politicians haven't given us any indication that this is the direction they are headed, but there are clear and meaningful indications that this is the case.

In the end, politicians take the lead from the public they represent and get in front of the gathering wave of public opinion.
While we haven't heard a peep about 'tough love' from any elected federal politician yet, it  will break out spontaneously, like a case of chicken pox, if and when Pauline wins her majority.

For a while now, the likes of Mario Beaulieu and company have been whining that Canadian media has undertaken a savage campaign of 'Quebec-bashing',  an unfair and racially motivated attack on Quebec.
Of course this isn't entirely true, not the bashing part, which actually is bang on, but rather the contention that the denigration is racially motivated, because it isn't.
The attacks on Quebec are strictly targeted at separatists and the Parti Quebecois, something Beaulieu understands, but attempts to spin, hoping to characterize the attacks as an affront to all Quebecers

But if Beaulieu is perturbed by the mild criticism of the past, he and his minion are in for a rude shock, one coming very soon should Pauline attain her majority government(not a sure thing by a long shot)
While we've been slowly working our way towards this new 'tough love' approach to Quebec relations, the dam finally burst with an article by Jonathan Kay in the National Post.

The no-holds-barred screed was ground-breaking because it pulled no punches and dealt directly with the  sovereignty issue from a Canadian standpoint.  A watershed moment or  'tipping point' in the more modern vernacular, it marked that from this day forward, the PQ and the separatists will no longer control the conversation and indeed the agenda.
While Ottawa has steadfastly refused to discuss sovereignty in any meaningful way, the Canadian media has finally put post-sovereignty borders and the question of partition itself (gasp!) clearly on the table.

Issues long settled in separatists' mind are now open for discussion, and the debate will blow apart the PQ's rose-tinted promise of an easy road to independence.

Michael Den Tandt; (National Post)
"As we head into a Quebec provincial election, with the separatist Parti Quebecois in a position to win a majority, this much can be taken as given; the response in the rest of Canada to any resulting new push for independence will be quite different from last time, or the time before that. There will be no candle in the window — no heartfelt plea from Main Street Ontario, imploring Quebecers to vote “Non.” If anything, the opposite could occur....

In the face of a third referendum, the political pressure from Main Street in the rest of Canada to push back — possibly even via a movement for a nationwide referendum on whether Quebec should be handed its hat, and don’t let the door hit you on the way out — would be impossible to ignore. Read more
Jonathan Kay; (National Post)
"During the 1995 referendum campaign, the federalist forces held a downtown Montreal rally that drew an estimated 100,000 participants. But as Michael Den Tandt reported in Wednesday’s edition of the National Post, such scenes are unlikely to be repeated this time around.... 

So how should our federal government respond if a referendum is called by a re-elected Parti Québécois? Here are four suggestions:
First, don’t act as if Quebec separation would be some kind of apocalypse. Acting as if Quebec’s departure from Canada is unthinkable destroys our bargaining position on a hundred different issues once the referendum fails. Indeed, such hysteria is a major reason Quebec has built up that annual $16.3-billion bribe.
Second, notwithstanding the paragraph above, let’s not waste our breath lecturing Quebec about the economic fallout of separation. Like all sentimental nationalists, Quebec separatists see independence as a sort of magical elixir. Warning them about dollars and cents is like warning teenage poker players that all those cigars might eventually give them gum cancer.
Third, make NDP leader Thomas Mulcair — and every other soft federalist — tell us clearly whether he or she respects Canadian law. Specifically, the Clarity Act, which defines a valid referendum result as one based on “a clear expression of the will of the population,” expressed through “a clear majority” of voters — as opposed to the bare-bones majority standard of 50%-plus-one, which the NDP has supported since the Jack Layton era.
Fourth, and this is the big one: Have the courage to tell Quebec, flat out, that if Canada is divisible, so is Quebec. And whatever clear voting standard is used to adjudicate the overall result of the province’s referendum will be the same result used to adjudicate the status of the province’s northern Cree regions, the Eastern Townships, and, most importantly, Montreal. Read more 
Wow!
Them's fighting words, something Quebec has never heard before and as large a dose of 'tough love' as it comes, as unexpected and inconceivable to sovereigntists as were the newly found parenting skills to Rachel Canning.

The Conservatives are itching to get into the act and Maxime Bernier warned that while Ottawa will keep silent in the Quebec election debate, that if federalism becomes an issue, the Conservatives intend on speaking out.

But living in the past, most Quebecers still believe that Canada will bend over backwards to accommodate their enfant gâté act and that Ottawa will continue its forty year policy of appeasement.
Those days are gone and if Mario Beaulieu thinks the media has been overly harsh towards Quebec, he hasn't seen anything yet!

While the PQ and Quebec sovereigntists remain blithely unaware of the tectonic shift in the ground below their feet, there are some francophone journalists who very well read the writing on the wall and are sounding the alarm.

Benoît Aubin (Le Journal de Montreal)
"The ambiguity of a possible referendum is deeply ingrained in our political fibre and doesn't seem to bother Quebec.
But it is different on the other side of the Ottawa River. The National Post is already campaigning to press the Harper government to hold a referendum the day after the Quebec election, to force Quebec to choose, right now, once and for all, hoping that Quebec says yes, killing off bilingual cereal boxes, official bilingualism, equalization and transfers ... a beautiful and prosperous Canada purring along in English while Quebec chokes on poutine. Link{fr}
So it's gratifying to see that somebody in the French press recognizes the gathering storm!

The question isn't how sovereigntists react to this new political reality, but rather how the unpoliticized man and woman in the street will.
The nasty and unexpected debate over the 'day after' is something Quebecers never really expected, convinced by separatist leaders that the road to sovereignty is as simple as a YES vote, after which all would unfurl seamlessly.

This debate will be devastating.
As Mr. Aubin explains, Quebecers have been content in the past to have the referendum question kick around eternally, enjoying the annoyance it represents for Canada as much as a teenager enjoys sticking it to her parents by sporting a nose piercing or an outrageous punk hairdo.

From now on the sovereignty debate will be as painful and insufferable in Quebec as it has always been in Canada. For Quebec, wrestling with the newly emboldened Canada, will be something unexpected and unpleasant, like discovering rodent at the bottom of the box of cereal.
It changes everything.

Pauline Marois warned Quebecers that part of her sovereigntist plan was to goad Canada into endless squabbles that would raise the enmity between Quebec and Canada and push soft nationalists over the line.
She is going to get her wish, the fight is on, but she'll probably not get the result she anticipated.
In fact she and Quebec are going to get mauled like the foolhardy idiot wading into shark infested waters on a lark and she's going to take Quebecers along for the nasty ride.

And so separatists who spout nonsense and who sell fantasies are going to be rudely challenged firstly by bloggers, then journalists in the mainstream press and ultimately by federal politicians.
The childlike arguments and nonsensical assumptions about sovereignty are finally going to be demolished and for separatists, it isn't going to be a pleasant experience.

For those who believe that in response to a ferocious federalist attack, Quebecers will somehow stand up and grow a pair, don't count on it......but that is the stuff for another post.

Let me re-iterate my position, that is that I do not want Montreal separated from Quebec, but I do not want Quebec separated from Canada.
But given one, I'll accept the other and I think that is where the debate is going.

So let me begin countering separatist arguments, starting with a missive from the insufferable pseudo-intellectual Mathieu Bock-Coté who warns us that the deconstruction of the Ukraine is inevitable, obviously because it serves as an analogy to his separatist agenda.
"One thing is clear:  Toxic borders are bad. The western part of the country is inhabited by Ukrainians. The east of the country is inhabited by Russians. And in a world that sees relations between Western Europe and Russia as fragile, the country is torn. Ukrainians want to get closer to Europe, largely to protect themselves from Russia. Russians in Ukraine want to get closer to their mother country.
History catches up with us: old conflicts end up mostly reborn. Geopolitics has its laws which we are foolish to ignore. Basic lesson: an artificial country will eventually burst. We can not force people to live together who do not share the same identity references of civilization.
Link
 Of course one can just smell the argument here, that Quebec is somehow in the same boat as Ukraine with it artificial borders holding back a frustrated and put upon people, well-deserving of independence.

But if Mr. Bock-Coté can make the analogy that Quebec is Ukraine, so too can the argument be made that an independent Quebec cannot force Montreal from seeking its own destiny, based on the very same argument that it does not share the same values or vision as the rest of Quebec.

Mr. Kay rightly argues that if Quebec breaks away from Canada, so too can Montreal from Quebec.
No doubt separatists like Bock-Coté will turn cartwheels to counter this notion, but the damaging debate itself is actually what we federalists desire.

For forty years separatist have controlled the debate, the hour of the referendum and the question, as well as the presumptions as to what an independent Quebec will look like.
Presenting the Canadian point of view that the breakup is not at all as separatists promise, is a useful and sobering exercise that just might convince Quebecers to abandon the self-destructive and childish path similar to that of sad sack Rachel Canning.

Wednesday, March 5, 2014

PQ Majority Government Harper's Sweetest Dream

With the federal Conservative party's fortunes decidedly on the decline and the Liberals of Justin Trudeau in ascension, a PQ majority victory would be a fortuitous turn of events, a political godsend of monumental proportion for Stephen Harper who under those circumstances would likely be returned to power with his own majority government.

Should the PQ win its majority, (by no means a done deal) one can only imagine the insufferable bravado and Canada bashing that will come out of Marois and her gang of pit bulls, a government which will elevate the art of confrontation to the nth degree, anxious to create havoc between itself and Ottawa in a cynical attempt to massage Quebecers' eternal persecution complex.

Like it or not, dealing with a separatist government in Quebec will become the federal government's most important preoccupation and who exactly Canadians will want to fulfill the role of negotiator clearly works in Harper's favour.

I can't imagine many Canadians choosing Justin Trudeau or Thomas Mulcair as their designated negotiator, a frightful notion akin to sending England's Neville Chamberlin to negotiate with Hitler, a naïve appeaser who promised 'peace in our time' only to be hoodwinked, plunging Europe into the Second World War.
Nope, Justin is a lightweight and Mulcair, well a political opportunist with a base in Quebec that he needs to defend.
One can only imagine Justin getting negotiated out of his shorts  because of his naive inexperience, while Mulcair would give away the farm to Quebec in order to keep the province in Canada at any and all costs.

With conciliation and appeasement, no longer on the menu as far as the majority of Canadians in the ROC are concerned, it's likely they will turn to the toughest and biggest sonovabitch they can muster to represent them in  the expected political death match and the experienced and nasty Harper, no friend of Quebec to begin with, the logical choice.

As for the coming election I remain flabbergasted that the CAQ and the Liberals couldn't get together to form a coalition government in the face of the PQ dissolution of the National Assembly.

In fighting an election from way behind, both Couillard and Legault displayed a remarkable lack of political savvy.

Utter foolhardiness, to this observer's view.

And so as the old biblical proverb goes "Pride goes before destruction, a haughty spirit before a fall" so too are the Liberals and the CAQ, too proud to compromise and in the process, consign themselves to an uncertain future.
A LIB/CAQ coalition government would ensure at least another year of breathing room, one in which they could pass a less draconian version of the Charter of Values, thus robbing the PQ of its one sure election plank.

I'll let readers comment on the election announcement and upon my return next week to Quebec, delve into some nuts and bolts.....

Monday, March 3, 2014

Quebec Language Police...Life Imitates Art

Quebec store owner ordered to change Facebook page to French


"Eva Cooper argues that Quebec's language law, Bill 101, doesn't cover social media

The owner of a store in Chelsea, Que., says she has been inundated with calls of support since the Quebec government ordered her to change the language on her store’s Facebook page to French.
Eva Cooper owns the women’s clothing boutique store, Delilah (in the Parc), with locations in Ottawa’s Glebe neighbourhood and in Chelsea, just north of Gatineau

The Facebook page is only in English, though the store's pamphlets and signs are in French. (CBC)
Cooper said she serves customers in both languages, but her Facebook posts are mostly in English.
“I was a little bit in shock. I was a bit taken aback,” Cooper said regarding the request to change her Facebook page.
“It’s not like I’ve ever not followed the law with my businesses on the Quebec side.

Customer complaint prompted order;
Cooper said she received a letter from the provincial government after a customer complained the page did not meet the requirements of Bill 101, the main legislation in Quebec’s language policy.

Bill 101: Chapter VII
Language of Commerce and Business52. Catalogues, brochures, folders, commercial directories and any similar publications must be drawn up in French.
Cooper has been ordered to translate her page by March 10 or she could face legal action.
Jean-Pierre Leblanc, a spokesman with Quebec's French-language office, said any promotional material from a business must be written in French, including posts on Facebook and Twitter.
"It's not the media itself, it's the use of it, so when you use it for commercial purpose, advertising, you are selling product or you are advertising for a service, it's applied," said Leblanc.
But Cooper argues there are blurred lines because the law does not mention social media."


 How many of you remember this scene from the movie Canadian Bacon?;


It is a little funny and a lot sad. Ridiculous, and vindictive. 
As Oscar Wilde reminded us so eloquently, "Life imitates art." (the notion that an event in the real world is inspired by a creative work.)

I wonder what kind of hateful mind one must possess to work at the OQLF and thrive in such an atmosphere of intolerance. Like Iran's dogmatic and fanatical religious police the Basiji, who scour the streets in search of immodestly dressed women, so too does the OQLF, which views itself as the protector of all things linguistically pure and chaste.
When Quebec militants observe that religious zealots are unwelcome in Quebec, they conveniently ignore that the only ones terrorizing the public over morality and language are they themselves.
While the PQ and its followers hold that extremists who demand religious piety from those disinclined represent a dangerous affront on freedom, they hold that extremists who demand language compliance, honourable instruments of legitimate public policy.

The reality is that the OQLF, Quebec's language police, is a chickenshit outfit, prone to terrorizing and bullying mom and pop businesses, but utterly afraid of the big boys.

Humourless and faceless ideologues who can actually make sense of demanding English television and radio stations to advertise their wares in French on billboards....Mais Oui!

But when faced with the harsh reality that some big companies will leave Quebec rather then operate in French, the solution is to offer waivers.
Think the OQLF will offer small boutiques, whose clientele is foreign or exclusively English the same opportunity?

I repeat what I've always said, why is it that toy cars must be labeled in French, yet real cars continue to have English dashboards?

Quebec language laws are morally reprehensible because they are enforced selectively.
How would we react if police stood on a busy downtown corner in any Quebec city and ticketed jaywalkers selectively, that is, picking out only those who are people of colour, ignoring the whites. (Oh wait, this actually happens in Montreal.)
And so why do Quebec casinos, owned and operated by a government of Quebec agency, flout the language laws with impunity. How is it they are given a pass, while small fry shopkeepers are terrorized?


The below screenshot comes directly from Loto-Quebec's French language website, proudly showing off all the wonderful slot machines offered in its Quebec casinos, with nary a word in French;


Take note that not only is the artwork in English only, but the instructions as well!

You can visit Loto-Quebec's webpage that proudly introduces all its exclusively English slot machines through a well produced slideshow. HERE
Why do the Quebec casinos, own and operated by a government of Quebec  agency, flout the language laws with impunity?

So I repeat what I've always said, why is it that toy cars must be labeled in French, yet real cars continue to have English dashboards?


I'm going to say this again, that we as a targeted minority shouldn't complain if we are not willing to make any effort to resist.

Most businesses just cave in to the pressure in order to buy their peace, it is sad, but true. 
 “They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety.”- Ben Franklin

If every targeted business would invest a thousand dollars and would committ its time to drag the OQLF in a time-consuming and bitter legal battle, the wheels of the OQLF would fall off.
If every OQLF inspector understood that he or she was walking into a hornet's nest instead of a fearful and compliant victim and every single file would be a bloody battle royale, things would change.
Like a bully who finds that his victims are fighting back and with effect, attitudes quickly change.

Each case can easily be dragged out for years and years and this at almost no cost. Most cases will be dropped anyways because for the OQLF, pursuing tiny cases costs an enormous amount of money and so tying up legal resources, a legitimate act of social defiance.

If Eva Cooper just says no to the OQLF over the Facebook page, it will mean a lengthy delay (years) before the issue is decided in court (and there is absolutely no overwhelming expectation that the OQLF will win.)
In the meantime, the OQLF will send out hundreds of letters pretending that the issue is cut and dried, when clearly it is not.
If everyone who received such a letter refused to comply based on the position that the request is beyond the scope of the law, it will be the OQLF which will be perturbed.
Every OQLF employee who is required to spend loads of time on the most obscure offences, it means that he or she cannot terrorize someone else.

Legal resistance is not only a viable defence, but an obligation in the face of collective oppression.

For our community, it is time to put up or shut up. The OQLF cannot flourish unless we blindly obey their every caprice.
Nobody is asking you to take a truncheon in the noggin or face a jail term for resistance, as did many who fought for their human rights.
If we aren't willing to spend a few dollars and expend a little effort we absolutely deserve what we get.

Fight back or shut up, which will it be?


****** UPDATE ********
****** LANGUAGE COPS CAVE UNDER PRESSURE! ******** 
March 3, 2014;
"Quebec’s language police have beaten a hasty retreat in their fight with a Chelsea businesswoman they’d targeted for supposedly violating provincial language laws.“I think I can do what I was doing before,” Eva Cooper, owner of a specialty clothing shop, Delilah (in the Parc), said Monday as she explained that officials with the Office québécois de la langue française — more contemptuously known as the language gendarmes — are no longer insisting her store’s Facebook postings be equally French and English" Link