Tuesday, September 28, 2010

BOMBSHELL! Statistics Canada Discovers Many More Anglos in Quebec!

I've always maintained that the language and demographic statistics bandied about by Quebec nationalists are subject to the most fanciful of interpretation, reflecting outright misrepresentation, more often than not.

Statistics Canada has released a bombshell study that discredits the conventional perception that Anglos make up about 8.5% of the Quebec population.
This figure has been so widely circulated by language nationalists that it has passed into the separatist narrative woven by organizations like the Societé Saint-Jean-Baptiste.
".... the criterion of the first official language spoken (FOLS) offers a more inclusive definition of the Anglophone population. The English FOLS population’s relative share is 11.9% (885,000) excluding those having French and English as a double first official language, and 13.4% (995,000) when half the population with both French and English as FOLS is included. This is a sizable difference, in comparison with the 607,000 persons who have English as their mother tongue." -Statistics Canada
 DOWNLOAD A COPY OF THE REPORT HERE

The dark blue bar indicates what has been traditionally defined as anglophones, while the light blue line is more inclusive.
It takes into consideration immigrant stock that have assimilated into the Anglophone community over the years and share English as their first language as opposed to French. Second and third generation Greeks, Italians, Chinese, Portuguese, Jews etc. are now considered bone fide anglophones if they speak English at home and if their children attend English schools legally. Makes sense.
Also, previous calculations considered Anglo/French families as francophone, instead considering 50% of them being English.

Interestingly, it jives rather neatly with what nationalist Mario Bealieu of the SSJB complains about, when he says that 12% of children attend primary and high school in English. These children (except a handful of gatecrashers) all require proper documentation to get into English school and must have a mother, father, sister or brother who attended English school before them.

And so incredibly, there are now 50% more Anglos living in Quebec than yesterday!

In one fell swoop, Anglo ranks have increased from 8.5% to 13.4%, to just under 1 million citizens!

Another interesting statistic is one that Anglo-Quebeckers understand intuitively, that they don't particularly feel like a minority, because they live in communities that have huge Anglo representation.


 The numbers would be adjusted much, much higher if the survey would  discount the eastern part of the island of Montreal, where very few Anglos live.

The study is chock full of interesting tidbits which the intrepid reader can peruse by downloading the file. I'll write more about the study in a further post, but now,  I don't want to be accused of information overload.

Now I'm sure that the report will be widely ignored in nationalist circles, after all it doesn't fit in with their agenda.
What surprises me is why the Anglo press isn't jumping on this story.

Monday, September 27, 2010

In Defence of Bonhomme Carnaval

I wonder how English Canada would react to a Maclean's cover depicting Queen Elizabeth in a less than flattering pose?
Especially considering that she has nothing to do with the pseudo cover story about the expanding waistline of Canadians, nor is she particularly obese herself.

The problem that I have with Maclean's cover of October 4, is that the depiction of Bonhomme Carnaval is gratuitous and uncalled for.

Maclean's has always used provocative covers to grab magazine buyers' attention. It's a tough market out there for the print media, especially magazines, so pushing the envelope is one way to create some buzz and interest..

No one can deny that this week's cover certainly grabbed national attention. but was it ethical?

I don't think so, not at all.

There have been Maclean's covers in the past depicting George Bush dressed up as Saddam Hussein, but the ex-president was fair game. Bonhomme is not.


Bonhomme Carnival doesn't deserve to be portrayed as a 'bag man,' just because the mascot is a famous and familiar Quebec symbol.

It reminds me of those vulgar portrayals of the Simpsons characters, cast in various lewd and sexual positions, floating around the Internet.
Not something that a mainstream news magazine should be involved with, under any circumstances.

Now Maclean's claims to have gotten permission to use the iconic symbol, but it's clear that they either lied to the rights holder about their intentions or made an egregious sin of omission, both cases equally unpardonable.

Grossly dishonest.

If I was the Quebec Carnival organizers, I wouldn't hesitate to sue. There may be a case to be made that the magazine engaged deception. There is  no way that the Carnival would knowingly allow their beloved mascot be bastardized this way.

If Maclean's fooled them, let them admit it in court.
It is a case of journalistic misrepresentation bordering on fraud.

In the end, the magazine did itself a disservice, allowing the articles to be framed by the offensive cover and altering the debate from corruption in Quebec to Quebec-bashing.

If you haven't read to two articles related to the cover, here they are.

Quebec: The most corrupt province.


What lies beneath Quebec’s scandals?


Before I comment on the actual stories and the reaction in Quebec, I'm going to do something different.
I going to let readers comment before me.

My question to all is this.
WAS THE MACLEAN'S ARTICLE AND THE RELATED COVER, A CASE OF QUEBEC-BASHING, OR NOT? 

Fire away!

Friday, September 24, 2010

French versus English Volume 15

TV commentator calls Anglos & Immigrants -"Abnormal"
In the unremitting hateful world of Quebec nationalists, anglophones and immigrants continue to represent an 'abnormality' because they won't vote for the Parti Quebecois. 
Imagine that!
For ex-MP and panel regular on RDI (CBC French news channel,) Jean-Pierre Charbonneau that's exactly what he said on air. Complaining that ethnics act too "anglo.'
"For many immigrants the constitutional question remains a sticking point, which hinders them from acting like normal citizens. In the end they act just like anglophones, who have an allergy towards the PQ even if it isn't about a referendum " Hear the Comment (French)
I guess voting for the PQ is what nationalists mean when they say they want immigrants to assimilate.

After viewers bombarded the station with complaints over the remarks, Mr. Charbonneau apologized telling the audience that at first he didn't even believe that he had made the offending remark and that he had to go to the tape for confirmation. Must have been a Freudian slip. And so Mr. Charbonneau told the audience in a mea culpa that he has nothing but the greatest respect for immigrants.  As for the anglos, not so much.... Ahemm.....
See him grovel here.. starting at 1:45sec. of the video

Militant Receives Absolute discharge 
After admitting harassing an anglophone candidate running for a city council position, Jean-Roch Villemaire was found guilty in a Gatineau courtroom. Link(French)
"As of late, I've sent several emails to West Quebeckers and Barbara Charlebois demanding that they stop anglicizing Quebec. I also wrote "Français", "Québec libre" and "FLQ" on two windows and the West Quebecers sign. I removed  about a dozen of Ms. Charlebois' election signs. I didn't commit any act of violence, nor did I make any calls to violence either.  - Jean-Roch Villemaire
 Read my post about the incident
After receiving a very generous 'absolute discharge' in court, Mr Villemaire seemed to have mellowed somewhat, perhaps wiser with his brush with the legal system. Or maybe he was just keeping up appearances until sentencing. As I predicted in that blog piece, he has remained off the militant grid ever since being charged. It remains to be seen whether he returns to his past ways, now that he is a 'free' man.
The only condition imposed upon him by the court was that he repay the Regional Association of West Quebecers, $500 for the trouble he caused, a sweet irony.

Talk-Show Host- Albertans are 'illiterate Hillbillies'
Decrying western Canadians opposition to the gun registry, afternoon talk-show host and noted anglo-basher Benoît Dutrizac called Albertans "a band of illiterate hillbillies' because according to  him, they are unable to fill out the necessary forms.

Taking the blowhard to task is blogger 'David' writing on the conservative web site- Republique de Bananes.
Apparently Mr. Dutrizac should check his figures before mouthing off. It seems that Alberta has the lowest rate of illiteracy in Canada and Quebec has the the highest and this by a wide margin! Over half of Quebeckers are either illiterate or functionally illiterate!
Touché!

Future Francophone teachers cheat on French Test
Exasperated by a French test that future francophone teacher must pass to be licensed and which they deem too difficult, someone has created a Facebook page where they disclose several of the test's  questions. The site has over 1,100 members where they 'discuss' aspects of the test. See the Facebook page HERE
Here's a sample of the type of stuff being posted;

 "For the September 12 2010, Here's what I remember of the vocabulary section;
Paradoxe, Tacite, Exubérant,
...Prendre le taureau par les cornes,
Marcher sur des oeufs,
le suffixe "ite" comme dans "cellulite" et "bronchite",
le suffixe "èdre" comme dans "polyèdre" ou "hexaèdre"  
Link(French)
It's good to know that the future guardians of the educational system are nothing more than a band of cheaters, spelt "T-R-I-C-H-E-U-R-S."

Who earns more, Francophones or Anglophones?
The current war over the question of who earns more, francophones or anglophones, between Jack Jebwab on the anglo side and Charles Castonguay on the francophone side,  is proof positive that depending on your point of view, it's possible to make statistics say just about anything.
It started with an article by Jebwad, claiming that francophones make more than anglophones. This was countered by Castonguay, an retired professor of mathematics, who 'proved' that the opposite was true. Now Jebwab is swinging back.
In a well written and perhaps unintentionally hilarious piece, Marian Scott of the Montreal Gazette describes the ongoing saga. 
Whether you're French or English you're going to enjoy seeing those statistics dance according to the 'caller.'
For added pleasure, read the article while listening to a recording of "Duelling Banjos," it'll set the perfect tone! 

Montreal becoming more "like them, less like us"
Writing from the cosy environs of the lily white, Catholic, Quebec City region, Réjean Labrie  decries the fact that immigrants are literally changing the face of Montreal.
"Little by little, Quebec is de-nationalizing, losing the elements of its own identity like a tree losing its leaves, becoming less like us and more like them.  Link (French)
I wouldn't have posted this run of the mill story except for a rather poignant allegorical photo that was included in the piece, a picture of a pure and bewildered Quebecoise, surrounded ignored and overwhelmed by 'les autres.'


Macleans dropping another bomb on Quebec
An email  from "Frank P." directed me over to Patrick Lagacé's blog where he advised readers that Macleans magazine is dropping another one of those Quebec-bashing bombshells in it's issue that drops today. Read some portions online, this week-end.

 As Frank P. wrote;
"Best we hold on to our "toques" as this one is going to create a wof "Ad nauseam Lamentata" (sic) by the usual nationalistic pseudo-victims zealots."
I've no doubt.....

 SEE ALSO:
 French versus English Volume 14

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Quebec Nordiques & New Colisée Can be Successful

Yesterday I reported that, as best as I can figure, a proposed new arena in Quebec City would cost in the neighbourhood of $20-$25 million dollars a year to operate, or about $7 per Quebec taxpayer per year,  were they to pick up the tab.
It's not an outrageous price, probably worth it, but it's a figure that can be knocked down to almost zero with a little creativity and entrepreneurship.
That sum assumes that the entire cost of the arena will be mortgaged and no direct government subsidy be involved in the construction. It also assumes that the building would generate revenues solely by renting itself out for NHL hockey, concerts, shows etc. etc.

But if the building operated as a business instead of a venue, it could easily boost revenues and seriously cut into that figure, quite possibly breaking even or making a profit.

Finding an owner that would contribute to the arena's profitability, instead of an owner who looked to take money out of the building is probably the first key to success.

In this regard I can't think of anyone better suited to own and operate the Nordiques and the arena than Loto-Quebec...

Yup......Loto-Quebec.
The Quebec casino and lottery agency is a natural fit.

Folding the Nordiques and the arena into it's operations would provide the team a vast marketing juggernaut and most importantly, financial stability. Unlike a 'private' owner, making a large profit  is not necessary, a goal of break-even for the publicly owned corporation would be perfectly satisfactory. 

It would be up to the Loto-Quebec to assume the mortgage and operations of the building and it would be their responsibility to 'find' this $20-$25 million in additional revenue required to make the project break even.
This can be accomplished through team operations and other revenue devices, most likely, a mini casino, to be added to the Colisee.
 
Gary Bettman has already given his blessing to casino gambling associating with an NHL franchise. The Pittsburgh Penguins have opted for this route in the partial financing of it's new arena, Consul Energy Center. The Penguins have licensed those rights for a $7.5 million yearly payment.
"Although professional sports generally try to avoid any association with gambling, the NHL has given its blessing for the Penguins to pursue a slots license. NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman said that league would have no problem with a team owning and operating a parlor, even if it were part of the arena."LINK
Now you might say that casino profits are just another form of tax, but at least it's a voluntary tax, one that is assumed by those wishing to gamble. I myself never go to the Montreal casino, it's too cumbersome to get there and I'm not a big gambler to begin with. That being said, if the casino was located in the Bell Centre, I certainly would be enticed to go to the game early or stay late, to complete an evening out.

Additionally, Loto-Quebec can promote the Nordiques through ticket give-aways that would replace some cash prizes.
Win a set of season tickets, a night in a loge for you and your friends, thousands of tickets instead of cash prizes etc.etc. Like I said, Loto-Quebec is a marketing juggernaut.

Arguably, all this is just a shifting of disposable income, but unlike a restaurant meal or a movie, there is a side benefit to a lot of fans who will enjoy having a team without actually paying for it directly it.

The major other aspect to financing the arena is of course, ownership of the NHL franchise, the Quebec Nordiques.

Although the Nordiques can't compete with the Montreal Canadiens who spin off an estimated $40 million dollars in profit, the Nordiques do have some advantages that even the mighty Canadiens don't.

For one thing the arena wouldn't have to pay municipal taxes which now costs the Canadiens over $7 million a year. This tax forgiveness would be in lieu of the arena forgoing the $50 million promise Mayor Lebaume made to the arena project. Also there's a lot of parking revenue to be made because of the large plot of land that the old Colisée sits on. The Montreal Canadiens don't get any parking revenue at all, due to it's confined downtown location. Combined this would add over $10 million in revenue that the Canadiens don't get.

To top it off, broadcast rights for the Nordiques are worth a fortune, more than the Canadiens and possibly second only in the league to the Toronto Maple Leafs. That's right.

Although Pierre-Karl Péladeau has been playing the reluctant hero, he is absolutely desperate to get his clutches into the Nordiques. Without being overly dramatic, the broadcast rights to the Nordiques represent a key element in the battle of media giants, Videotron and Bell.

If you haven't heard, Bell recently bought out CTV and thus are now 100% owners of RDS, the sports network that own the Montreal broadcast rights. If they out-bid TVA sports(Quebecor/Videotron/Péladeau)  for the broadcast rights for the Nordiques, they can put a terrible squeeze on the whole Péladeau media empire.
Remember Péladeau, has recently launched a wireless service to compete with Bell Wireless and Bell has launched FIBE, a high speed cable service to compete with Videotron cable.

If Péladeau gets the broadcast rights to the Nordiques, the two giants will have to live with each other and broadcast each others products, the Canadiens and the Nordiques, both on Bell and Videotron.

If Bell gets the Nordiques, Videotron is screwed.
Once the FIBE network is developed and Bell has enough penetration between that and it's satellite service, imagine the damage they could inflict by removing RDS from Videotron.
Ouch! Remember that both giants offer telephone/TV/Internet packages. If the Videotron package doesn't include the Nordiques/Canadiens, it isn't hard to imagine the competitive advantage of Bell.

And so like the auction where two rich buyers try to out-bid each other, I expect the Nordiques to win the second largest broadcast deal in the NHL, making the team highly profitable.

By combining all these revenue streams, it seems to me that the whole arena/Nordiques can be done without direct public financing and Loto-Quebec can probably turn a small profit on the whole affair.

My plan may not be pretty, but it's a plan. At least it's a call for those involved to look for answers outside the taxation route.

French or English, all Canadiens benefit from more Canadian teams in the NHL. It would be wonderful to add Winnipeg and another team in southern Ontario to the fold.

Now this post is non-political, it is about HOCKEY, so no anti-Quebec or anti-Canada comments please.

Can you make my plan better?
The idea is to get Quebec City and more Canadian teams in the NHL. If you are against that notion than post somewhere else.

That being said, fair criticism is always welcomed. Fire away.

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Peladeau Not the Answer to the Return Of Nordiques

Montreal hockey fans were none too surprised at goaltender Carey Price's mini-holdout earlier this month, before he ultimately signed an overly generous contract with the Montreal Canadiens.
The sports radio talk shows were filled with angry fans who were mightily annoyed that the Canadiens management traded their only other bone fide NHL goaltender, Jaroslav Halak without already having Price under contract. Even the dumbest, beer-swilling, hockey moron understood that it left the Canadiens in a poor negotiating position, one where they'd have to overpay Price for his sub-par performance of last year, or be left holding air.

The same goes for a sports arena in Quebec city. It's the height of lunacy to build an arena on 'spec' without already having a deal with the NHL in the bag.
Just look what happened in Hamilton where they built the Copps Coliseum in anticipation of an NHL franchise that never came. Now the building is no longer up to NHL standards and the idea of a new building just won't fly anymore.

Could you imagine Gary Bettman's negotiating position vis-a-vis a team in Quebec City with a $400 million arena sitting virtually empty?  Whatever the price of admission would be before the arena is built, it would drastically go up after. 

Are the politicians that dumb?
Yessir, they are.
Along with most of reporters and the media analysts covering the story, who are unable to exercise critical judgment.
The debate over the arena, reminds me of the old story of the executioner asking the condemned man how he would prefer to die, by hanging or gunshot.

Neither I would think.....but in Quebec we are discussing the rope or the gun and nothing else.

Masterfully, Bettman has claimed to remain neutral, but not before warning anyone who will listen, that without a new arena, there'll be no chance of Quebec getting an NHL franchise. So like a dog chasing a rubber ball on a string, a new arena is in order, much to the delight of those pulling the string, Bettman and his sidekick, Pierre-Karl Péladeau. Round and round we go!

And so we watch in morbid fascination, the altogether familiar shakedown playing out before us. Like Fric and Frac, Bettman is swearing that Quebec needs a new arena and Péladeau is swearing that he's not going to invest a dime on the building.
Like two fiddlers calling the tune, Bettman and Péladeau are choreographing a reel that Quebeckers seem all to happy to dance to. A hockey team! Hooray!

Two consummate grifters, shaking down the marks, how sadly familiar!

Maybe we Quebeckers should also help out that fine Nigerian fellow who wrote us such a nice, polite letter, offering to let us in on a once in a lifetime deal!

Unfortunately, city after city, jurisdiction after jurisdiction across North America have fallen for the sports arena/stadium scam, run on them by sports leagues and robber-baron owners who take advantage of gullible politicians and eager fans.

While the team owners get a business that is guaranteed a profit, taxpayers get decades of debt.

And so Quebec City innocently believes that while others have been stung by the 'damn the consequences' pursuit of a professional franchise, they will not, even as they follow the same plan and walk the exact same path.

It would be prudent to pause and review the experience of others who have fallen for the same tired flimflam.
Sports Stadium Debt & the Taxpayer
Professional Sports: Taxpayer Parasites
It's Official: Florida Marlins Screwed Miami-Dade Taxpayers

If you had the patience to read all the above stories, you'd be pretty ill by now. If you read only one, read the first story.

The idea of taxpayers financing and owning an arena that loses money for the benefit of a team owner that uses the facility to make money, makes sense only if you are the team owner.

I don't think I can put it simpler than that.

I wish politicians and the public would understand, it's not that hard a concept to follow.

If he doesn't assume any stadium risk, Pierre-Karl Péladeau brings nothing to the table, after all, that's what entrepreneurs are supposed to do, assume risk. 

In the scenario that the politicians are pursuing, we are gifting Péladeau millions of dollars a year. Why? It is utter stupidity.

Now I'm not against Quebec City getting a new arena and an NHL franchise. Even if it costs taxpayers some money, it's probably worth it on many levels.

That being said, it's incumbent upon politicians to make sure that the price is as low as possible.

By owning the team as well as the building, profits from team operations can help subsidize the arena, instead of giving those profits away to an operator.

Up to now I haven't waded into the Nordiques/Arena/Péladeau question, because I wanted to read the famous consultants report prepared by Ernst & Young. After a hard slog through its 200 some pages, my first conclusion was, that had it been I who commissioned the said report, I'd ask for my money back.
You can read the full report by clicking on the picture or better still a read a summary of the report HERE.

Click to Read the Report(French)
The report has the feel of a high school term paper that is heavily padded by the student in order to fulfill a minimum word count requirement.
Short on much useful information it wastes 65 pages detailing the economic benefits and spin-offs of the arena, when in reality such a project is an economic net loser and any analyst worth his salt, knows it intuitively.
It's like saying casinos brings wealth to the community, so let's build more.

Here from a study from Canada's own Fraser Institute is the painful truth. 
“No matter what cities or geographical areas are examined, no matter what estimators are used, no matter what model specifications are used, and no matter what variables are used, articles published in peer-reviewed economics journals contain almost no evidence that professional sports franchises and facilities have a measurable economic impact on the economy....”

When I read the part that listed the Maritimes as an important secondary market, I almost fell out of my chair laughing. If the consultants can imagine someone driving up from Charlottetown or Halifax to take in a Nordiques game on a regular basis, they are more creative than I thought.

The only thing of interest in the 204 page report, is the one solitary paragraph at the conclusion that says the arena can break even on operations, but cannot pay the mortgage on the $400 building cost, nor can it pay another $4.5 million in annual upkeep.

So there it is.
The annual cost to the taxpayer is about $20-$25 million dollars per year, based on a mortgage of 40 years at current rates, which includes the cost of upkeep.

That's the number that nobody is talking about. Nobody at all.

Scary?
Not really, it comes out to less than $7 per Quebec taxpayer per year.

But instead of demanding that taxpayers foot this annual bill, perhaps somebody should be working on a business model that would reduce this $20-$25 million 'nut' to almost nothing.......
 
By owning the team and making some smart business moves, the new Colisée, owner of the Nordiques can cost the taxpayers nothing, or next to it. It can be done and I'll show you how.

Tomorrow: Quebec Nordiques & The New Colisée Can be Successful.