One Way or Another... Trudeau is Toast

Even praying won't help Justin Trudeau

For those who supported and continue to support the lofty goals of the 2015 Trudeau Liberals, it's a disappointing fall from grace and a nasty betrayal of trust, the failure of the Liberal government to deliver on what it promised landing squarely on the shoulders of Justin Trudeau.

Gaff after gaff has taken its toll on the now dufus Trudeau who can no longer lecture us from the moral high ground over his pet issues like the environment, feminism, equality and climate change.

Gone is his moral superiority that resonated with Canadians in the last election, the disappointment palpable and the betrayal agonizing.
Regardless of what happens, a Liberal or Conservative minority government, Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister or opposition leader is untenable.
While Justin may remain firmly ensconced in his fantasy world, those around him are looking past his tenure as leader with some already planning leadership bids when he inevitably gets dumped.

Make no mistake, although Trudeau has through his actions betrayed those goals and demonstrated that he's a fraud, the Liberal party platform still resonates with enough Canadians that should the Liberals have dumped Trudeau and gone with a new leader they'd have won this election in a cakewalk.
That's right a cakewalk.

I daresay that the Liberal party brain trust would be more than happy to see a Conservative minority government that could be overthrown at will, rather than muddle on in a minority government position led by a completely damaged and discredited Prime Minister Trudeau.

As Trudeau faces his mortality as Prime Minister he is becoming more and more unhinged, making claims and promises that even his most loyal supporters understand to be desperate measures.

His recent warnings that the environment would be the biggest loser under a Conservative government is laughable as if he himself has actually made progress in lowering Canada's emissions.
But my favourite idiotic promise is that he would commit to planting two billion trees to combat climate change.
If as Trudeau promises, the two billion new trees will have a significant impact on our carbon footprint, what of the 320 billion trees that exist in Canada already?

That's right Canada already has 320 billion trees.
In fact, Canada's forests are so large and bountiful that they completely obliterate our carbon footprint and then some. But that fact will  be discussed in another post.

As for the Conservatives, Scheer has demonstrated that he hasn't got the right stuff and aside from traditional Conservative voters, he hasn't moved the needle through a lacklustre campaign and a personality that evokes mediocrity.

The NDP have destroyed themselves with the likeable Jagmeet Singh, whose strong and measured opinions and policies are overshadowed by his turban.
While progressives west of the Quebec border have no problem with the turban, in Quebec and parts to the east,it is toxic.

And then there is Trudeau's position on Quebec's new secularism law that forbids religious displays (read: Muslim) in some government positions.  Trudeau has softly hinted that he may intervene against the law without ever committing to do so, an ambiguous position meant to play to everyone, but in reality, satisfying no one.
This one policy pronouncement has sealed the fate of a potential Liberal majority government by raising the ire of the hitherto silent Quebec nationalist movement. The issue was tailor-made for the Bloc Quebecois and has given new life to the idea that Quebec needs the party to defend its interests in Ottawa. The shift in voter intentions in Quebec is legendary and the rise of the Bloc as a counter to the dastardly multiculturalist Trudeau has caught fire with those Quebec voters who dislike and fear Muslims and Anglophones.
If the Conservatives win a minority they will be propped up by the Bloc with Scheer surely promising Quebec nationalists what he must in order to assure its support.
While it will serve Conservatives in the short run, the appeasement of the Bloc will play out badly in English Canada and be perceived as a naked deal with the devil.

While the destruction of Justin Trudeau will play out, one way or another over the next months, Liberal planners are hoping for sooner than later, so that they can get back to ruling Canada in a majority government in the next election, perhaps a year to eighteen months ahead.

As for predictions here are mine.

• The Bloc Quebecois will sweep virtually all the ridings outside the greater Montreal and Quebec regions which represent about 35 seats.
• The NDP will be lucky to save two seats in Quebec, the unlikely Ruth Ellen Brosseau and Alexandre Boulerice the best hopes.
• The Conservatives will win about ten or fewer seats in Quebec and the Liberal the rest.
• Nationally. the Conservative will win about ten seats more than the Liberals but not enough for a majority government.
• The NDP will win nationally less than than 20 seats and the Greens, well who cares about the Greens
• Look for a defacto coalition government between the Conservatives and the Bloc, which will be opposed by a defacto coalition between the Liberals and the NDP.
• The Conservative government will last less than eighteen months.